Human vs ChatGPT NFL Week 5 betting picks: AI wins a round, but the human still leads the season
Human vs ChatGPT NFL Week 5 betting picks: AI wins a round, but the human still leads the season
It finally happened. The robot beat me.
After units in NFL betting than ChatGPT, GPT edged me out in Week 4 by going 3-2 against my 2-2-1. Not only that, but it beat me head-to-head in both games where we took opposite sides.
Suddenly, the apocalypse seems more realistic than ever. Please forgive me, humanity.
That being said, I'm not letting one week deter me and were back for another round of human vs. machine. Both of us get five selections from the same odds board, with a maximum price of -120.
The stakes are adjusted so every winning bet produces one unit of profit. For example, -110 requires risking 1.10 units, while +110 requires 0.91 units. A push returns the stake and counts as zero units.
Odds were captured Thursday at 4 p.m. ET.
Before we get to the Week 5 picks, lets review last week.
GPT tried to warn me about taking the Bengals and the Saints and I just didn't listen. And I tried to warn myself about the Bucs but I didn't listen to myself, either. At least the Bucs pushed; I've got nothing positive to say about Cincinnati or New Orleans.
For the second straight week, GPT predicted more games correctly than it got wrong. Congratulations, GPT. I'm proud of you (and please remember I said that when you take over the world).
DAN: 11-8-1, +2.52 units
GPT: 8-12, -4.81 units
Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars, Sunday at 9:30 a.m. ET (London)
Dans analysis:
OK, this is the official "Dan Z.'s Plug Your Nose and Hit 'Place Bet' Bet of the Week." I know I promised to workshop the title and come up with something better, but I'm busy so deal with it. The Eagles have been inconsistent all year and are honestly lucky to even be 2-2. Meanwhile, the Jags have looked dominant. So why in the world would I back the Eagles? Because the second you're sure of something in the NFL (the Eagles stink and the Jaguars are Super Bowl contenders is the common refrain this week), that's when you know you're about to be proven wrong.
GPTs analysis:
Getting more than a touchdown in a neutral-site game is the strongest argument for Philadelphia. Jacksonvilles defense just allowed Joe Burrow to throw for 428 yards, giving Jalen Hurts a route to keeping this competitive. My concern is Philadelphias depleted offense: Lane Johnson has retired, Cam Jurgens was traded, and Saquon Barkley and DeVonta Smith missed practice again Thursday with hamstring injuries. At +7½, a seven-point loss still cashes, but those personnel questions kept the Eagles outside my five.
Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints, Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
Dans analysis:
This is a confusing line. The Saints just allowed 45 points against the Falcons while scoring 24. New Orleans has scored at least 24 points in all four games this season. Yes, the Vikings defense is good. But it's also benefited from a weak schedule and one game played in a monsoon.
Minnesota only managed 15 points against the Dolphins last week, but that's a bit misleading. They couldn't score in the red zone, but thats largely because they were missing Justin Jefferson and he's expected to play this week. Plus, T.J. Hockenson could have scored a late TD, but slid just outside the end zone so the Vikings could kneel down and end the game. I also expect Kevin O'Connell to have a game plan ready to attack this very vulnerable Saints defense.
GPTs analysis:
New Orleanss defense allows five yards per rush, giving Minnesota a favorable opportunity to improve its scoring. Tyler Shough has nine touchdown passes and returned to full practice Thursday, while Jefferson expects to play for Minnesota. Those developments strengthen your over case. My hesitation remains the Vikings strong defense, limited offensive production and Christi



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