Human vs. ChatGPT NFL Week 7 betting picks: Human clings to profit as AI claims third straight win
Human vs. ChatGPT NFL Week 7 betting picks: Human clings to profit as AI claims third straight win
Apparently, the robot doesn't even have to make money to beat me anymore.
ChatGPT at 2-2-1 and lost 0.16 units. I went 2-3 and lost 1.17 units. That's three straight weeks of GPT getting the better of me, although I'm not sure "congratulations on losing less money" is quite the victory speech it had in mind.
The good news? I'm still profitable this season. The bad news? My profit is now 0.09 units. Yes, there's still a plus sign in front of my total, and I intend to keep pointing that out until someone makes me stop. I'm 15-14-1 through six weeks, while GPT is 13-16-1 and down 4.03 units.
To make matters worse, the Chargers handed "Dan Z.'s plug your nose and hit place bet" pick its first loss of the season. That streak ends at four after Los Angeles managed six points against Kansas City. It's my own fault; and, I know I keep saying this, but this time I mean it: I am OFF the Chargers this season.
Anyway, we're back for Week 7. I'd like to get back to winning money before my entire season profit disappears into a rounding error.
Both of us get five selections from the same odds board, with a maximum price of -120. Odds were captured Saturday at 6 p.m. ET.
The stakes are adjusted so every winning bet produces one unit of profit. For example, -110 requires risking 1.10 units, while +110 requires 0.91 units. A push returns the stake and counts as zero units.
Before we get to the Week 7 picks, lets review last week.
The Bears-Falcons under was looking great until Ben Johnson started resting defensive starters in the fourth quarter. Atlanta promptly scored a touchdown and converted the two-point attempt. Chicago put the starters back in, and the Falcons scored another touchdown and another two-point conversion anyway. All they had to do was stop one two-point conversion and we hit. Lame.
We don't need to talk about the Chargers or the Cowboys because they both stink. Those two are squarely on me (not every loss is my fault, you see).
The Raiders stayed within the number in Buffalo, and Washington salvaged my Monday night with a six-point loss to San Francisco. When you're celebrating two teams losing football games, you know you've had a productive week.
GPT went all-in on totals and got the full experience: two wins, two losses and a game that landed exactly on the number.
DAN: 15-14-1, +0.09 units
GPT: 13-16-1, -4.03 units
Dan Z.s Plug Your Nose and Hit 'Place Bet' Bet of the Week: 4-1, +2.90 units
Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans, Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
Dans analysis:
This is the official "Dan Z.'s plug your nose and hit place bet" bet of the week. Because nothing says "I've learned from my mistakes" like following up a losing Chargers bet by taking the 1-5 Titans to win outright. But I don't think Cleveland is nearly as good as its 4-2 record suggests. Deshaun Watson has quietly been very bad, and the Browns keep escaping with late wins that cover up how poorly he's playing.
Tennessee, meanwhile, has been competitive in three of its five losses and finally got a win last week. There's more fight here than people think. I'm getting plus money at home against a team I'm not buying. So, yes, we're doing this again.
GPTs analysis:
Clevelands 4-2 record looks better than an offense averaging just 17.7 points per game, so I understand backing the home underdog. The Browns have repeatedly needed late recoveries, which makes them difficult to trust as road favorites. My concern is Tennessees ability to capitalize: Cam Ward faces a strong Cleveland pass defense, and the Titans have struggled to sustain offense themselves. At +112, Tennessee needs to win roughly 47% of the time to justify the price.
I lean Cleveland -2, although neither side made my five.
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens, Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
Dans analy
