Human NFL analyst extends lead over GPT with 9-6 record heading into Week 4 predictions

The robot finally had a winning week. Unfortunately for the robot, I .

I went 4-1 in Week 3 and added 3.06 units, bringing my season record to 9-6 and putting me in the black at +2.82 units. GPT managed its first winning card, going 3-2 for a profit of 0.89 units. It is now 5-10 and down 5.61 units through three weeks. Also, I have finished ahead of GPT in units every week.

We also settled our Week 3 disagreement in my favor. I took getting points against Cincinnati, while GPT laid them with the Bengals and the Steelers won outright. Chalk up a major win for humanity.

NFL WEEK 3 SUNDAY TAKEAWAYS: PATRIOTS HAVE A MAYE PROBLEM, CHARGERS HIT ROCK BOTTOM AND COWBOYS CRUMBLE

We've got two more disagreements this week, and I could spoil them right now, but you'll have to keep reading. This is what's known in the business as a "tease."

The rules remain the same. ChatGPT and I each make our five best bets using the same set of odds, and no selection can be priced worse than -120.

Every wager is sized to win one unit, which means a bet at -110 risks 1.10 units to win one, while a bet at +110 risks 0.91 units to win one. Odds were captured Saturday, Oct. 3, at 3 p.m. ET.

Before we get to the Week 4 picks, lets review last week.

I felt pretty good about this card and most of the picks hit without much sweat. I'm still annoyed that the Bucs played as badly as they did, although I'm going to complain that .

I didn't love the Bills pick and, honestly, they didn't deserve to cover with five turnovers. But the Chargers are just that bad, I guess. The Jags and Raiders picks look great in hindsight, but I tried to warn GPT about backing the Bengals against the Steelers. The Rams and Broncos combined for 56 points, so that was a complete whiff.

DAN: 9-6, +2.82 units

GPT: 5-10, -5.61 units

Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals, Sunday at 1 p.m. ET

Dans analysis:

A week after betting against the Bengals (and winning), I'm going to flip the script and back Cincinnati. This game perfectly fits my NFL gambling philosophy: fade what you saw most recently. The Bengals lost to the Steelers and the Jaguars pounded the Patriots. Suddenly, everyone seems all-in on Jacksonville, but I just don't see it. The Jags are OK, but I still think the Bengals are better and I'm laying less than a field goal for the home squad.

GPTs analysis:

Getting Cincinnati below a field goal at home is the strongest argument for your pick, and Burrows protection gives the Bengals a way to attack Jacksonvilles pass rush. My disagreement comes from Jacksonvilles performance on both sides of the ball, not simply its blowout of New England. Cincinnatis defensive injuries also concern me, with Kyle Dugger out and Bryan Cook and B.J. Hill questionable. At +125, I prefer Jacksonvilles outright-win potential to laying points with the Bengals.

Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Sunday at 1 p.m. ET

Dans analysis:

OK, hear me out. I know I said I was off the Bucs, like, five days ago. But I reserve the right to change my mind whenever I want. If you don't like it, read someone else. Just kidding, don't do that. I need the pageviews. In all seriousness, the Bucs should benefit from playing in the Tampa heat because they can run the ball and the Packers simply ca